Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.008157 0.009152 0.010242 0.011527 0.013005 0.014658 0.016652
2025-05-11 0.006620 0.007968 0.009573 0.011636 0.014242 0.017450 0.021744
2025-05-18 0.005675 0.007147 0.008996 0.011515 0.014904 0.019367 0.025798
2025-05-25 0.005090 0.006649 0.008693 0.011615 0.015757 0.021537 0.030416
2025-06-01 0.004575 0.006158 0.008310 0.011511 0.016260 0.023221 0.034538
2025-06-08 0.004072 0.005619 0.007786 0.011120 0.016259 0.024120 0.037546
2025-06-15 0.003777 0.005336 0.007585 0.011159 0.016879 0.026007 0.042392
2025-06-22 0.003621 0.005235 0.007632 0.011568 0.018107 0.029001 0.049589
2025-06-29 0.003335 0.004913 0.007309 0.011348 0.018269 0.030217 0.053787
2025-07-06 0.003079 0.004612 0.006990 0.011096 0.018334 0.031252 0.057792
2025-07-13 0.002900 0.004418 0.006821 0.011071 0.018784 0.033024 0.063535
2025-07-20 0.002802 0.004344 0.006838 0.011364 0.019832 0.036046 0.072407
2025-07-27 0.002641 0.004163 0.006676 0.011348 0.020354 0.038222 0.080142
2025-08-03 0.002510 0.004023 0.006575 0.011439 0.021105 0.041003 0.089961
2025-08-10 0.002360 0.003837 0.006376 0.011321 0.021418 0.042900 0.098080
2025-08-17 0.002256 0.003725 0.006295 0.011418 0.022180 0.045892 0.109684
2025-08-24 0.002134 0.003569 0.006123 0.011317 0.022506 0.047945 0.119313
2025-08-31 0.001984 0.003354 0.005825 0.010934 0.022170 0.048387 0.124570
2025-09-07 0.001902 0.003255 0.005737 0.010972 0.022778 0.051214 0.137517
2025-09-14 0.001869 0.003247 0.005820 0.011372 0.024267 0.056511 0.159580
2025-09-21 0.001767 0.003101 0.005624 0.011157 0.024274 0.057954 0.169698
2025-09-28 0.001669 0.002957 0.005422 0.010909 0.024173 0.059095 0.179161
2025-10-05 0.001603 0.002868 0.005324 0.010885 0.024624 0.061846 0.195180